By The Numbers: A Statistical Preview of the Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots

Here is a statistical breakdown of the Patriots and Bills, heading into their week 17 game in Foxboro. The stats underlined in green heavily favor the Patriots, while those in red italics favor the Ravens.


Turnover differential: Pats 6th (+10), Bills 12th (+2)
Special Teams DVOA: Pats 6th (+5.9%), Bills 30th (-6.7%)
Penalty yards differential per game: Pats 2nd (+18.9), Bills 16th (+0.1)



Points per game: Pats 5th (27.3), Bills 23rd (21.3)
Yards per game: Pats 7th (385), Bills 23rd (335)
3rd down efficiency: Pats 14th (38.0%), Bills 28th (34.2%)
Red Zone (TD) efficiency: Pats 9th (57.4%), Bills 31st (47.5%)
Yards per play: Pats 14th (5.4), Bills 29th (4.8)
Yards per drive: Pats 7th (34.0), Bills 28th (25.8)
Yards per point: Pats 11th (14.1), Bills 22nd (15.7)
Points per drive: Pats 8th (2.15), Bills 26th (1.51)
Three and out: Pats 4th (18.5%), Bills 27th (25.6 %)
Offensive DVOA: Pats 3rd (+22.4 %), Bills 26th (-14.6%)
Turnovers: Pats 7th (19), Bills 22nd (27)

Passing yards per game: Pats 7th (265), Bills 29th (192)
Yards per pass attempt: Pats 16th (7.0), Bills 30th (6.3)
Completion percentage: Pats 16th (60.6), Bills 29th (57.4)
Passer rating: Pats 14th (88.0), Bills 28th (73.8)
TD-Interceptions: Pats 10th (+14, 24:10), Bills 26th (even, 15:15)
Sacks-yardage lost: Pats 14th (39-249), Bills 26th (44-247)
Passing DVOA: Pats 8th (+27.2%), Bills 29th (-17.4%)

Rushing yards per game: Pats 12th (119.9), Bills 2nd (142.5)
Yards per carry: Pats 15th (4.21), Bills 16th (4.18)
Stuffed (loss or zero gain): Pats 7th (7.3%), Bills 18th (9.6%)
Rushing DVOA: Pats 9th (+3.0%), Bills 18th (-2.6%)



Points per game: Pats 9th (21.2), Bills 15th (23.6)
Yards per game: Pats 25th (372), Bills 8th (330)
3rd down efficiency: Pats 28th (42.9%), Bills 14th (37.5%)
Red Zone (TD) efficiency: Pats 16th (56.5%), Bills 8th (48.9%)
Yards per play: Pats 16th (5.3), Bills 6th (4.8)
Yards per drive: Pats 21st (31.3), Bills 3rd (26.5)
Yards per point: Pats 5th (17.5), Bills 21st (14.0)
Points per drive: Pats 10th (1.75), Bills 11th (1.76)
Defensive DVOA: Pats 23rd (+7.3%), Bills 5th (-12.8%)
Turnovers: Pats 5th (29), Bills 5th (29)

Passing yards per game: Pats 18th (240), Bills 5th (210)
Yards per pass attempt: Pats 13th (6.9), Bills 7th (6.6)
Completion percentage: Pats 4th (57.1), Bills 1st (55.1)
Passer rating: Pats 9th (80.), Bills 2nd (75.2)
TD-Interceptions: Pats 15th (-7, 24:17), Bills 7th (-5, 27:22)
Sacks-yardage lost: Pats 6th (44-290), Bills 1st (56-388)
Passing DVOA: Pats 16th (+5.3%), Bills 2nd (-17.9%)

Rushing ypg: Pats 29th (131.7), Bills 23rd (119.7)
Yards per carry: Pats 24th (4.43), Bills 20th (4.20)
Stuffed (loss or zero gain): Pats 29th (6.5%), Bills 17th (8.6%)
Rushing DVOA: Pats 26th (+2.1%), Bills 18th (-4.1%)


All-time the Patriots are 65-41-1 against the Bills, including a victory in the only time they met in the post-season. The 65 victories are the most that they have against any other franchise, and that is also the most losses that Buffalo has against any other franchise. The Patriots have owned the series of late, winning the last four in a row, 19 of the last 20, and are 24-2 since Bill Belichick become New England’s head coach. Considering that record and then going back further to Scott Norwood’s wide right, it is no wonder that fans of the Bills despise Belichick.

From a statistical standpoint, the major point of emphasis to be wary of is Buffalo’s pass defense. They do a great job of getting after the quarterback, led by Mario Williams (13 sacks) and Kyle Williams (10.5 sacks). Their safeties are very good as well; Jairus Byrd is one of the best in the league, and he is complemented quite nicely by safety Aaron Williams; both have four interceptions apiece this year. Linebacker Kiko Alonso has four picks as well, and is fourth in the league with 145 total tackles.




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