Week 16 NFC Playoff Scenarios
With two weeks left to play here is a look at the NFC playoff situation.
- Atlanta has clinched the NFC South, Green Bay has clinched the NFC North, and San Francisco has clinched a playoff spot.
- Tampa Bay, Carolina, Arizona, Detroit and Philadelphia have been eliminated.
- In order of best chances to get in, the Seahawks, Redskins, Giants, Cowboys, Bears, Vikings, Rams and Saints are still in contention.
12-2 Atlanta Falcons: at Lions, vs Bucs
Have clinched the NFC South
Can clinch the #1 seed with any of the following:
(a) Win at Lions
(b) Win vs Bucs
(c) Packers lose to Titans, and 49ers lose to Seahawks
(d) Packers lose to Titans, and 49ers lose to Cardinals
(e) 49ers lose to Seahawks, and Packers lose to Vikings
(f) Packers lose to Vikings, and 49ers lose to Cardinals
Can clinch a first round bye with:
(a) Packers loss to Titans
(b) 49ers loss to Seahawks
(c) Packers loss to Vikings
(d) 49ers loss to Cardinals
Can be eliminated from #1 seed with any of the following:
(a) Losses to both Lions and Bucs, plus Packers beat both Titans and Vikings
(b) Losses to both Lions and Bucs, plus 49ers beat both Seahawks and Cardinals
Can be eliminated from first round bye with all of the following:
(a) Losses to both Lions and Bucs, plus Packers beat both Titans and Vikings, plus 49ers beat both Seahawks and Cardinals
10-3-1 San Francisco 49ers: at Seahawks, vs Cardinals
Have clinched a playoff spot
Can clinch the #1 seed with all of the following:
(a) Wins over both Seahawks and Cardinals, and also Falcons lose to both Lions and Bucs
Can clinch at least the #2 seed with any of the following:
(a) Win at Seahawks, plus Packers loss to Titans
(b) Win vs Cardinals, plus Packers loss to Titans
(c) Win at Seahawks, plus Packers loss to Vikings
(d) Win vs Cardinals, plus Packers loss to Vikings
(e) Wins over both the Seahawks and the Cardinals
(f) Packers lose to both the Titans and Vikings, plus the Rams beat the Seahawks
Can clinch at least the #3 seed with any of the following:
(a) Win at Seahawks
(b) Win vs Cardinals
(c) Rams beat Seahawks
Can be eliminated from the #1 seed with any of the following:
(a) Loss to Seahawks
(b) Falcons beat Lions
(c) Loss to Cardinals
(d) Falcons beat Bucs
Can be eliminated from the #2 seed with any of the following:
(a) Loss to Seahawks, and Packers beat both Titans and Vikings
(b) Loss to both Seahawks and Cardinals, and Packers beat Titans
(c) Loss to both Seahawks and Cardinals, and Packers beat Vikings
(d) Loss to Cardinals, and Packers beat both Titans and Vikings
Can be eliminated from the #3 seed (i.e., become a wildcard) with all of the following:
(a) Loss to both Seahawks and Cardinals, plus Seahawks beat Rams
10-4 Green Bay Packers: vs Titans, at Vikings
Have clinched the NFC North
Can clinch the #1 seed with either of the following:
(a) Beat both the Titans and Vikings; plus, the Falcons lose to both the Lions and Bucs; plus the 49ers lose to the Seahawks
(b) Beat both the Titans and Vikings; plus, the Falcons lose to both the Lions and Bucs; plus the 49ers lose to the Cardinals
Can clinch at least the #2 seed with any of the following:
(a) Beat both the Vikings and Titans, plus a 49ers loss to Seahawks
(b) Beat both the Vikings and Titans, plus a 49ers loss to Cardinals
(c) Beat both the Vikings and Titans, plus the Falcons lose to both the Lions and Bucs
(d) Beat the Titans, plus 49ers lose to both Seahawks and Cardinals, plus Seahawks beat Rams
(e) Beat the Vikings, plus 49ers lose to both Seahawks and Cardinals, plus Seahawks beat Rams
Can clinch at least the #3 seed with any of the following:
(a) Win vs Titans
(b) Win at Vikings
(c) Giants lose to Ravens, plus Redskins lose to Eagles
(d) Giants lose to Ravens, plus Redskins lose to Cowboys
(e) Redskins lose to Eagles, plus Giants lose to Eagles
(f) Redskins lose to Cowboys, plus Giants lose to Eagles
(g) Saints lose to Cowboys, and Redskins lose to Cowboys
Can be eliminated from the #1 seed with any of the following:
(a) Loss to Titans
(b) Falcons beat Lions
(c) Loss to Vikings
(d) Falcons beat Bucs
(e) 49ers beat both the Seahawks and Cardinals
Can be eliminated from the #2 seed with any of the following:
(a) Losses to both the Titans and Vikings
(b) Loss to Titans, plus 49ers beat Seahawks
(c) Loss to Titans, plus Seahawks beat Rams
(d) Loss to Titans, plus 49ers beat Cardinals
(e) Loss to Vikings, plus 49ers beat Seahawks
(f) Loss to Vikings, plus Seahawks beat Rams
(g) Loss to Vikings, plus 49ers beat Cardinals
(h) Falcons beat Lions, and 49ers beat both Seahawks and Cardinals
(i) Falcons beat Bucs, and 49ers beat both Seahawks and Cardinals
Can clinch the #3 seed by losing to both the Titans and Vikings while the Giants beat both the Ravens and Eagles, plus any of the following:
(a) Redskins loss to Eagles, plus Cowboys loss to Saints
(b) Redskins loss to the Eagles, plus Cowboys loss to the Redskins
(c) Redskins lose to the Cowboys, plus Cowboys loss to the Saints
8-6 Washington Redskins: at Eagles, vs Cowboys
Can be anywhere from #3 seed to missing the playoffs
Can win the NFC East/#4 seed with any of the following:
(a) Win vs both the Eagles and Cowboys
(b) Win vs Cowboys, plus Giants loss to Ravens
(c) Win vs Cowboys, plus Giants loss to Eagles
Can clinch a wildcard playoff spot with any of the following:
(a) Win vs Cowboys, plus Vikings loss to Texans, plus Bears loss to Cardinals
(b) Win vs Cowboys, plus Vikings loss to Texans, plus Bears loss to Lions
(c) Win vs Cowboys, plus Vikings loss to Packers, plus Bears loss to Cardinals
(d) Win vs Cowboys, plus Vikings loss to Packers, plus Bears loss to Lions
(e) Win vs Cowboys, plus Vikings loss to Texans, plus Seahawks lose to both 49ers and Rams
(f) Win vs Eagles, plus Vikings loss to Texans, plus Bears loss to Cardinals
(g) Win vs Eagles, plus Vikings loss to Texans, plus Bears loss to Lions
(h) Win vs Eagles, plus Vikings loss to Packers, plus Bears loss to Cardinals
(i) Win vs Eagles, plus Vikings loss to Packers, plus Bears loss to Lions
(j) Win vs Eagles, plus Vikings loss to Packers, plus Giants loss to Ravens, plus Bears loss to Cardinals
(k) Win vs Eagles, plus Vikings loss to Packers, plus Giants loss to Ravens, plus Bears loss to Lions
Can be eliminated from the #3 seed with any of the following:
(a) Loss to Eagles
(b) Loss to Cowboys
(c) Packers beat Titans
(d) Packers beat Vikings
Can be eliminated from the #4 seed/NFC East Title with any of the following:
(a) Loss to Cowboys
(b) Loss to Eagles, plus Giants beat both Ravens and Eagles
Can be eliminated from the #5 seed with any of the following:
(a) Loss to both the Eagles and Cowboys
(b) Loss to Cowboys, plus Seahawks beat 49ers
(c) Loss to Cowboys, plus Seahawks beat Rams
(d) Loss to Cowboys, plus Giants beat both the Ravens and Eagles
(e) Loss to Cowboys, plus Bears beat both the Cardinals and Lions
(f) Loss to Cowboys, plus Vikings beat both the Texans and Packers
Can be eliminated from the #6 seed and the playoffs entirely with any one of the following scenarios:
(a) Loss to both Eagles and Cowboys, plus Giants beat Ravens
(b) Loss to both Eagles and Cowboys, plus Bears beat Cardinals
(c) Loss to both Eagles and Cowboys, plus Vikings beat Texans
(d) Loss to both Eagles and Cowboys, plus Giants beat Eagles
(e) Loss to both Eagles and Cowboys, plus Bears beat Lions
(f) Loss to both Eagles and Cowboys, plus Vikings beat Packers
(g) Loss to Cowboys, plus Giants beat both Ravens and Eagles, plus Saints beat Cowboys
(h) Loss to Cowboys, plus Giants beat both Ravens and Eagles, plus Seahawks beat 49ers
(i) Loss to Cowboys, plus Giants beat both Ravens and Eagles, plus Seahawks beat Rams
(j) Loss to Cowboys, plus Bears beat Cardinals and Lions, plus Seahawks beat 49ers
(k) Loss to Cowboys, plus Bears beat Cardinals and Lions, plus Seahawks beat Rams
(l) Loss to Cowboys, plus Vikings beat both Texans and Packers, plus Seahawks beat 49ers
(m) Loss to Cowboys, plus Vikings beat both Texans and Packers, plus Seahawks beat Rams
(n) Losses to both Cowboys and Eagles, plus Rams beat both Bucs and Seahawks
9-5 Seattle Seahawks: vs 49ers, vs Rams
Can be anything except the #1 seed or #4 seed
Can clinch the #2 seed by beating both the 49ers as well as the Rams, plus one of the following:
(a) Packers loss to Titans, plus 49ers loss to Cardinals
(b) Packers loss to Vikings, plus 49ers loss to Cardinals
Can clinch the #3 seed with the following:
(a) Win vs 49ers, plus win vs Rams, plus 49ers loss to Cardinals
Can clinch the #5 wildcard spot with any of the following:
(a) Win vs 49ers, plus win vs Rams
(b) Win vs 49ers, plus Giants loss to Ravens
(c) Win vs Rams, plus Giants loss to Ravens
(d) Win vs 49ers, plus Giants loss to Eagles
(e) Win vs Rams, plus Giants loss to Eagles
(f) Win vs 49ers, plus Redskins loss to Eagles, plus Cowboys loss to Saints
(g) Win vs Rams, plus Redskins loss to Eagles, plus Cowboys loss to Saints
(h) Win vs 49ers, plus Redskins loss to Eagles, plus Cowboys loss to Redskins
(i) Win vs Rams, plus Redskins loss to Eagles, plus Cowboys loss to Redskins
(j) Win vs 49ers, plus Cowboys loss to Saints, plus Redskins loss to Cowboys
(k) Win vs Rams, plus Cowboys loss to Saints, plus Redskins loss to Cowboys
(l) Giants lose to both Ravens and Eagles, plus Vikings lose to Texans, plus Redskins lose to Eagles, plus Bears lose to Cardinals
Can clinch at least the #6 wildcard spot with any of the following:
(a)Win vs 49ers
(b) Win vs Rams
(c) Redskins loss to Eagles, plus Bears loss to Cardinals, plus Vikings loss to Texans
(d) Redskins loss to Eagles, plus Bears loss to Lions, plus Vikings loss to Texans
(e) Redskins loss to Eagles, plus Bears loss to Cardinals, plus Vikings loss to Packers
(f) Redskins loss to Eagles, plus Bears loss to Lions, plus Vikings loss to Packers
(g) Cowboys loss to Redskins, plus Bears loss to Cardinals, plus Vikings loss to Texans
(h) Cowboys loss to Redskins, plus Bears loss to Lions, plus Vikings loss to Texans
(i) Cowboys loss to Redskins, plus Bears loss to Cardinals, plus Vikings loss to Packers
(j) Cowboys loss to Redskins, plus Bears loss to Lions, plus Vikings loss to Packers
(k) Giants lose to Ravens and Eagles, plus Redskins loss to Eagles, plus Vikings loss to Texans
(l) Giants lose to Ravens and Eagles, plus Bears loss to Cardinals, plus Vikings loss to Texans
(m) Giants lose to Ravens and Eagles, plus Bears loss to Lions, plus Vikings loss to Texans
(n) Giants lose to Ravens and Eagles, plus Cowboys loss to Redskins, plus Vikings loss to Texans
(o) Giants lose to Ravens and Eagles, plus Redskins loss to Eagles, plus Bears loss to Cardinals
(p) Giants lose to Ravens and Eagles, plus Redskins loss to Eagles, plus Vikings loss to Packers
(q) Giants lose to Ravens and Eagles, plus Redskins loss to Eagles, plus Bears loss to Lions
(r) Giants lose to Ravens and Eagles, plus Bears loss to Cardinals, plus Vikings loss to Packers
(s) Giants lose to Ravens and Eagles, plus Bears loss to Cardinals, plus Cowboys loss to Redskins
(t) Giants lose to Ravens and Eagles, plus Bears loss to Lions, plus Vikings loss to packers
(u) Giants loss to Ravens, plus Vikings loss to Texans, plus Saints loss to Cowboys, plus Cowboys loss to Redskins
(v) Vikings loss to Texans, plus Saints loss to Cowboys, plus Cowboys loss to Redskins, plus Giants loss to Eagles
(w) Giants loss to Ravens, plus Saints loss to Cowboys, plus Bears loss to Cardinals, plus Cowboys loss to Redskins
(x) Giants loss to Ravens, plus Saints loss to Cowboys, plus Vikings loss to Packers, plus Cowboys loss to Redskins
(y) Giants loss to Ravens, plus Saints loss to Cowboys, plus Bears loss to lions, plus Cowboys loss to Redskins
Can be eliminated from the #2 seed with either
(a) Packers win vs Titans
(b) Packers win vs Vikings
Can be eliminated from #3 seed with either
(a) Loss to 49ers
(b) Loss to Rams
(c) 49ers beat Cardinals
Can be eliminated from #5 wildcard spot with any of the following:
(a) Loss to both the 49ers and Rams, plus Vikings beat both Texans and Packers
(b) Loss to both the 49ers and Rams, plus Bears beat both the Cardinals and Lions
(c) several five-outcome scenarios
8-6 New York Giants: at Ravens, vs Eagles
Cannot be the #1 or #2 seed
Can win the NFC East and clinch at least the #4 seed with:
(a) Wins vs both the Ravens and Eagles, plus Redskins loss to Eagles, plus Cowboys loss to Saints
(b) Wins vs both the Ravens and eagles, plus Redskins loss to Eagles, plus Cowboys loss to Redskins
(c) Wins vs both the Ravens and eagles, plus Cowboys loss to Saints, plus Redskins loss to Cowboys
Can clinch at least the #5 seed with:
(a) Wins vs both the Ravens and Eagles, plus Seahawks loss to 49ers
(b) Wins vs both the Ravens and Eagles, plus Seahawks loss to Rams
Can clinch a playoff spot and at least the #6 seed with:
(a)Wins vs both the Ravens and Eagles
Can be eliminated from the #3 seed with either:
(a) Packers win vs Titans
(b) Packers win vs Vikings
Can be eliminated from #4 seed and NFC East title with either:
(a) Loss to Ravens
(b) Loss to Eagles
(c) Redskins beat Eagles, plus Redskins beat Cowboys
(d) Redskins beat Eagles, plus Cowboys beat Saints
Can be eliminated from #5 seed with either:
(a) Loss to Ravens, plus Seahawks beat 49ers
(b) Loss to Ravens, plus Seahawks beat Rams
(c) Loss to Eagles, plus Seahawks beat 49ers
(d) Loss to Eagles, plus Seahawks beat Rams
(e) Loss to Ravens, plus Vikings beat both Texans and Packers
(f) Loss to Eagles, plus Vikings beat both Texans and Packers
(g) Loss to Ravens, plus Bears beat both Cardinals and Lions
(h) Loss to Eagles, plus Bears beat both Cardinals and Lions
(i) Loss to Ravens, plus Redskins beat Eagles, plus Cowboys beat Saints
(j) Loss to Ravens, plus Redskins beat Eagles, plus Cowboys beat Redskins
(k) Loss to Eagles, plus Redskins beat Eagles, plus Cowboys beat Saints
(l) Loss to Eagles, plus Redskins beat Eagles, plus Cowboys beat Redskins
(m) Redskins beat both the Eagles and Cowboys, plus Seahawks beat both the 49ers and Rams
Can be eliminated from the #6 seed and the playoffs with either:
(a) Losses to both the Ravens and Eagles
(b) Loss to the Ravens, plus Cowboys beat the Saints, plus Redskins beat the Cowboys
(c) Loss to the Eagles, plus Cowboys beat the Saints, plus Redskins beat the Cowboys
(d) More than a dozen four-team combinations, all of which include a loss by the Giants
8-6 Dallas Cowboys: vs Saints, at Redskins
Can only be #4 seed, #6 seed, or miss playoffs
Can win the NFC East and clinch at least the #4 seed with either:
(a) Win vs Saints, plus win vs Redskins
(b) Win vs Redskins, plus Giants loss to Ravens
(c) Win vs Redskins, plus Giants loss to Eagles
Can clinch the #6 seed with either:
(a) Win vs Redskins, plus Cardinals beat Bears, plus Vikings beat Texans, plus Vikings loss to Packers
(b) Win vs Redskins, plus Vikings beat Texans, plus Vikings loss to Packers, plus Bears loss to Lions
Can be eliminated from #4 seed with either:
(a) Loss to Redskins
(b) Loss to Saints, plus Giants beat both Ravens and Eagles
Can be eliminated from #6 seed and playoffs with either:
(a) Loss to Redskins, plus Vikings beat Packers
(b) Loss to both Saints and Redskins, plus Vikings beat Texans
(c) Loss to both Saints and Redskins, plus Giants beat Ravens
(d) Loss to both Saints and Redskins, plus Giants beat Eagles
(e) Loss to both Saints and Redskins, plus Bears beat Cardinals
(f) Loss to both Saints and Redskins, plus Bears beat Lions
(g) Loss to both Saints and Redskins, plus Rams beat Bucs
(h) Loss to both Saints and Redskins, plus Saints beat Panthers
(h) Loss to Redskins, plus Vikings beat Texans, plus Bears beat Cardinals
(i) Loss to Redskins, plus Vikings beat Texans, plus Bears beat Lions
(j) Loss to Redskins, plus Giants beat both Ravens and Eagles
8-6 Chicago Bears: at Cardinals, at Lions
Can only be a wildcard, or miss playoffs
Can clinch a wildcard spot with either:
(a) Wins vs both the Cardinals and Lions, plus Vikings loss to Texans, plus Giants loss to Ravens
(b) Wins vs both the Cardinals and Lions, plus Vikings loss to Texans, plus Giants loss to Eagles
8-6 Minnesota Vikings: at Texans, vs Packers
Can only be a wildcard, or miss playoffs
Can clinch a wildcard spot with wins vs both the Texans and Packers, plus one of these scenarios:
(a) Giants loss to Ravens
(b) Giants loss to Eagles
(c) Redskins loss to Eagles, plus Cowboys loss to Saints
(d) Redskins loss to Eagles, plus Cowboys loss to Redskins
(e) Cowboys loss to Saints, plus Redskins loss to Cowboys
(f) Vikings beat both Texans and Packers, plus Seahawks lose to both 49ers and Rams
6-7-1 St. Louis Rams: at Bucs, at Seahawks
Can either be a #6 seed or miss playoffs
Rams are eliminated if they lose either remaining game; they are also eliminated in any of the following scenarios:
(a) Giants beat either the Ravens or Eagles
(b) Vikings beat either the Texans or Packers
(c) Bears beat either the Cardinals or Lions
(d) Redskins beat the Eagles, plus Cowboys beat the Saints
(e) Redskins beat the Eagles, plus Cowboys beat the Redskins
(f) Cowboys beat the Saints, plus Redskins beat the Cowboys
6-8 New Orleans Saints: at Cowboys, vs Panthers
Can clinch a playoff spot with all of the following:
(a) Wins vs Cowboys and Panthers, plus
(b) Giants lose both their games, plus
(c) Vikings lose both their games, plus
(d) Bears lose both their games, plus
(e) Cowboys lose both their games, plus
(f) Rams lose one of their games
If all that happens then the Saints would win an 8-8 tiebreaker between them and the Giants, Vikings, Bears and Cowboys.
This Day In Patriots History
December 20, 1964:
Buffalo Bills 24, Boston Patriots 14 at Fenway Park
The final regular season game of the 1964 season was essentially a playoff game as the 10-2-1 Patriots hosted the 11-2 Bills. The winner would advance to the AFL championship game, while the season would be over for the loser; the concept of wild card spots and expanded playoffs was years away.
In the first quarter Tony Romeo caught a 37-yard touchdown pass from Babe Parilli, and though the Pats did not convert the extra point they were down by only one, 7-6. In the second quarter Jack Kemp – who had earlier thrown a 57-yard touchdown pass to Elbert Dubenion – scored from one yard out, and Pete Gogolak’s 12-yard field goal made it 17-6 Bills at the half.
In the 4th quarter Kemp scored on another one-yard run and the Pats were down by 18. Parilli hit Romeo again on a 15-yard touchdown and the Pats converted the 2-point conversion, but Buffalo went on to win the game, and then beat San Diego 20-7 for their first AFL title.
The Bills limited the Patriots to just 33 yards rushing on 11 attempts, so the Pats had to air it out. Parilli went 19-for-39 for 294 yards, 2 touchdowns and two picks, and Jim Colclough had 6 receptions for 134 yards. The Pats picked Kemp off three times (twice by Ron Hall, once by Don Webb) , but Buffalo burned time off the clock with a methodical running game (94 yards on 41 carries) once they had the lead.
Gino Cappelletti was named the AP and UPI Player of the Year and was named to his third Pro Bowl. Cappelletti led the league with 155 points scored; to this day it is the 11th most points scored by a player in a single season; every one of those ahead of him played a 16-game season rather than the 14-game season that was played at that time. It was the third time in four years he led the AFL in scoring; the one other time he finished 2nd. Cappelletti led the team in receptions, receiving yards, and shared the lead for most touchdown receptions.
Parilli was a first-team All Pro and Pro Bowler, and led the league in passing yardage (3,465), touchdown passes (31), game-winning drives (3), and comebacks (3).
Larry Garron made his third Pro Bowl, amassing 935 yards from scrimmage and 9 touchdowns. Garron led the team in rushing attempts, rushing yardage, and shared the lead for touchdown receptions.
December 20, 1970:
Cincinnati Bengals 45, New England Patriots 7 at Riverfront Stadium
The Joe Kapp Era mercifully came to an end in the Queen City. Kapp went 7-for-21-for 101 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions. For the Bengals Sam Wyche was 7-for-14 for just 91 yards, but he had two touchdowns and no picks; he also rushed for 63 yards and a touchdown. The Pats finished the season with a 2-12 record, worst in the league; both Clive Rush and John Mazur went 1-6 as the team's head coach.
December 20, 1981:
Baltimore Colts 23, New England Patriots 21 at Memorial Stadium
The Pats lost their ninth consecutive game, and in doing so they won the first overall pick in the upcoming draft by losing to the Colts. Of course they used that pick on Kenneth Sims rather than someone like Chip Banks or Mike Munchak so it wasn’t that big of a ‘win’; at least they nailed it when they grabbed Andre Tippett in the second round.
Bert Jones threw three touchdown passes as the Colts matched the Patriots with a final record of 2-14. Tom Owen got the start at QB in what would turn out to be his final NFL game, and threw a touchdown pass to Don Westbrook. Westbrook also caught a TD pass from Matt Cavanaugh; those two touchdowns represent 67% of the touchdowns of his NFL career.
December 20, 1987:
New England Patriots 13, Buffalo Bills 7 at Rich Stadium
Steve Grogan tossed a 7-yard touchdown pass to Cedric Jones in the 1st quarter and Reggie Dupard ripped a 36-yard run for a touchdown in the 2nd quarter. After that the Pats defense did the rest, limiting Buffalo to just 148 total yards of offense. Garon Veris, Andre Tippett, Toby Williams and Brent Williams combined for five sacks, and Fred Marion had an interception to keep the Pats playoff hopes alive.
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December 20, 1947:
Peter Criss (drummer for Kiss) was born in Brooklyn
December 20, 1948:
Alan Parsons was born in London; besides his Alan Parsons Project he worked on the production of various notable albums such as Abbey Road and Dark Side Of The Moon
December 20, 1973:
Bobby Darin died at the age of 37
December 20, 1974:
Joe Walsh replaced Barry Leadon as lead guitarist with the Eagles
December 20, 1992:
Blues legend Albert King died at the age of 69 from a heart attack in Memphis
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