Time to shuffle off from Buffalo and move on to the week five opponent.

 

2-2 Denver Broncos at 2-2 New England Patriots

Sunday October 7 at 4:25 p.m. ET

Gillette Stadium, Foxboro MA

TV: Most CBS stations; announcers are Jim Nantz and Phil Simms

Radio: 98.5 the Sports Hub; Patriots Radio Network; Sirius XM channel 226

 

Odds: opened at Pats -7½; as of Wednesday down to Pats -6½

Total: over/under opened at 52½; now at an average of 51½

 

Pats: 0-1 at home, 2-1 vs AFC, 1-game win streak

Broncos: 0-1 on road, 2-1 vs AFC, 1-game win streak

Last meeting: Pats won 45-10 in division round of playoffs

Last regular season meeting: Pats overcome 16-7 deficit to win 41-23 on December 18 2011

Franchise history: Broncos lead regular season series 25-17, 27-18 overall. Pats’ all-time .400 winning percentage versus Denver is the lowest against any team in the AFC.

 

Manning at Foxboro: 2-8

Manning versus Pats: 7-12

Brady at Foxboro: 69-13

Brady versus Broncos: 4-6

Brady versus Manning: 8-4

Forecast: 49°, falling to 41° at night; 70% chance of rain; 8 mph wind

 

Denver Broncos Offense
28.5 points per game (7th), 387 yards per game (12th)
DVOA: 13.3% (10th)
3rd Down: 25 made (5th), 46% (4th)
Passing: 278 yards per game (9th), 7.5 yards per attempt (11th), 96.3 passer rating (10th), 64.3 completions (13th), 8 sacks allowed (9th)
Rushing: 109 yards per game (14th), 3.9 yards per attempt (16th)

 

New England Patriots Offense
33.5 points per game (1st), 438 yards per game (1st)
DVOA: 33.2% (1st)
3rd Down: 22 made (11th), 42% (12th)
Passing: 294 yards per game (6th), 8.0 yards per attempt (6th), 102.4 passer rating (6th), 65.6% completions (12th), 8 sacks allowed (9th)
Rushing: 144 yards per game (8th), 4.2 yards per attempt (12th)

 

Turnovers: Patriots +8 (2nd), Broncos -4 (25th)

Total DVOA: Patriots 31.6% (3rd), Broncos 28.9% (5th)

 

Denver Broncos Defense
20.8 points per game (10th), 308 yards per game (7th)
DVOA: -15.3% (10th)
3rd Down: 24 made (26th), 41% (23rd)
Passing: 221 yards per game (13th), 6.8 yards per attempt (10th), 92.4 passer rating (20th), 58.6% completions (6th), 10 sacks allowed (20th)
Rushing: 87.5 yards per game (9th), 3.4 yards per attempt (7th)

 

New England Patriots Defense
23 points per game (18th), 367 yards per game (20th)
DVOA: -1.7% (18th)
3rd Down: 21 made (17th), 41% (22nd)
Passing: 281 yards per game (25th), 7.7 yards per attempt (22nd), 90.6 passer rating (19th), 63.5% completions (21st), 7 sacks allowed (8th)
Rushing: 85.2 yards per game (7th), 3.4 yards per attempt (7th)

 

Game preview and prediction later this week…

 

 

 

 

♪ ♫ ♩ ♬ ♭ ♮ ♯ ♪ ♫ ♩ ♬ ♭ ♮ ♯ ♪ ♫ ♩ ♬ ♭ ♮ ♯ ♪ ♫ ♩ ♬ ♭ ♮ ♯ ♪ ♫ ♩ ♬ ♭ ♮ ♯

 

October 3 has plenty of music industry birthdays to choose from: Eddie Cochran (Summertime Blues), Chubby Checker (The Twist), guitarist supreme Stevie Ray Vaughn, Lindsey Buckingham of Fleetwood Mac, Tommy Lee of Motley Crue, Gwen Stefani of No Doubt, Ronnie Laws of Earth Wind and Fire… Rather than pick one (and slight the rest) I’ll go local and commemorate the work of Benjamin Orr; the Cars‘ bass player and occasional singer died on this day in 2000 at the age of 53.

 

 

 

 

 

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