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Week 4 College Football

John Morgan
John Morgan on Twitter
Sep 21, 2012 at 9:15pm ET

A look into my crystal ball at some of Saturday's games.

Temple (1-1) at Penn State (1-2)
Saturday Sept 22, 3:30 p.m. ET on espn2
Opening Odds: Penn State -9
Current Odds: Penn State -8
Over/Under: Opened at 45; currently 43

Neither offense is very good; the results between these two have gone under in each of the last five meetings. Bill O'Brien finally got his first win and though this may sound crazy, the Nittany Lions could be in for a bit of a letdown facing Temple. The Owls have come close recently, losing to Penn State by just nine points two years ago and four points last year. They'll be up for this game as they see PSU as a team that has bullied them forever. Even if they don't score the upset they should at least cover.

Temple +8 (2 units)
Under 43 (1 unit)

1-2 Kentucky at 3-0 #14 Florida
Saturday Sept 22, 12:20 p.m. ET on SEC Network
Opening Odds: Florida -23½
Current Odds: Florida -24
Over/Under: Opened at 49; currently 52½
Kentucky was 5-7 last year and returned just eleven starters. Their only win was against an abysmal Kent state team, and Louisville crushed them 32-14, rolling up 466 yards against Kentucky's defense. The Gators have quieted their critics with road wins at Texas A&M and at Tennessee. They have next week off so it's not as if they'll be looking ahead to another game.

Florida -24 (3 units)

#10 3-0 Clemson at #4 3-0 Florida State
Saturday Sept. 22 at 8:00 p.m. ET on ABC
Opening Odds: Florida State -13
Current odds: Florida State -14
Over/Under: Opened at 55½; currently at 56

FSU has finished their exhibition season, and now gets a real game. Even if the competition wasn't that great, you still have to be impressed by a team that has outscored their opponents 176 to 3. The Seminoles have more speed and athleticism, and will be motivated by the fact that Clemson has won five of the last seven meetings, including last year's 35-30 game.

Florida State -14 (2 units)

#15 3-0 Kansas State at #6 2-0 Oklahoma
Saturday Sept. 22 at 7:50 p.m. ET on Fox
Opening Odds: Oklahoma -14½
Current Odds: Oklahoma -14
Over/Under: Opened at 58½; currently 57½

Kansas State is averaging 46 points per game, and I'm not sold on Oklahoma QB Landry Jones. The Sooners may be a bit over rated; they're just 2-5 against the spread in their last seven conference games.

Kansas State +14 (1 unit)
Over 57½ (1 unit)

The rest:


0-2 Army at 2-1 Wake Forest, 12:30
CBS: Wake -7, under 56½

2-1 South Florida at 2-1 Ball State
4:30; Ball St +13, over 59½

0-3 Memphis at 2-1 Duke
6:00, espn3; Memphis +24, under 62½

0-3 Eastern Michigan at #21 2-1 Michigan State
3:30, Big 10; MSU -28½, over 48

1-2 Bowling Green at 2-1 Virginia Tech
Noon, espnU; Va Tech -17, over 47

1-1 Central Michigan at 2-1 Iowa
Noon, Big 10; Iowa -14, over 47

0-2 Alabama-Birmingham at #16 3-0 Ohio State
Noon, Big 10; OSU -36, over 58½

2-1 East Carolina at 1-2 North Carolina
3:30, espnU; UNC -14, under 60

2-1 Maryland at #8 2-0 West Virginia
Noon, FX; WV -25½, over 59

1-2 UTEP at 2-1 Wisconsin
Noon, espn2; Wisconsin -17½, under 48

0-3 UMass at 1-2 Miami OH
Noon, espn3; Miami -23½, over 48½

1-2 Vanderbilt at #5 3-0 Georgia
7:45, espn2; Georgia -13½, over 50

2-1 Utah State at 1-2 Colorado State
7:00; CSU +14½, over 47½

3-0 Rutgers at 1-2 Arkansas
7:00, espnU; Arkansas -8½, over 47½

#22 3-0 Arizona at #3 3-0 Oregon
10:30, espn; Oregon -21½, under 79 (2 units)

1-0 Oregon State at #19 3-0 UCLA
3:30, ABC; UCLA -7, under 52½

2-1 Virginia at #17 2-0 Texas Christian
Noon, espn; TCU -13½, over 51½

1-2 California at #13 2-1 Southern Cal
6:00; Cal +17, under 59

0-3 Colorado at 2-1 Washington State
4:00, FX; Colorado +20½, over 58

#2 3-0 LSU at 1-2 Auburn
7:00, espn; LSU -18½ (2 units), under 51½

2-1 Miami (FL) at 2-1 Georgia Tech
3:00; Miami +14½, over 56½

2-1 UConn at 1-2 Western Michigan
2:00, espn3; WMU +1, over 41½

2-1 Missouri at #7 3-0 South Carolina
3:00, CBS; Missouri +10½, under 52½

#18 2-1 Michigan at #11 3-0 Notre Dame
7:30, NBC; Michigan +6½, under 51

1-2 Syracuse at 3-0 Minnesota
8:00, Big 10; Minnesota +1, under 57½

1-2 New Mexico at 1-2 New Mexico State
8:00, espn3; New Mexico +8½, under 63

1-2 Akron at 2-1 Tennessee
7:30, espn3; Tennessee under 33, under 65½

2-1 Mississippi at 0-2 Tulane
Noon, FSN; Ole' Miss -15, under 57

2-0 Louisiana Tech at 2-1 Illinois
8:00, Big 10; Illinois -1, over 61½

2-1 Utah at 2-1 Arizona State
10:00; Utah +7½, over 49½

1-1 Air Force at 0-3 UNLV
10:00; UNLV +14½, over 55

2-1 Nevada at 1-1 Hawaii
10:30; Hawaii +10½, over 61

1-2 Florida Atlantic at #1 3-0 Alabama
5:00; FAU +51½, under 58½

0-2 Southern Mississippi at 2-1 Western Kentucky
7:00, espn3; WKU -2, under 52

1-2 Troy at 1-2 North Texas
7:00, espn3; NTU +2, over 55½

#20 3-0 Louisville at 1-2 Florida International
7:00, espn3; Louisville -13½, under 59½

1-2 South Alabama at #23 3-0 Mississippi State
7:00, espn3; Miss St -32½, over 47½

Idaho State at #25 2-1 Nebraska
3:30; Nebraska -45½

Septmber 21, 1967:
Faith Hill was born.

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